Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.003543 0.003872 0.004223 0.004628 0.005081 0.005576 0.006157
2025-11-30 0.003014 0.003481 0.004015 0.004677 0.005479 0.006427 0.007645
2025-12-07 0.002755 0.003304 0.003962 0.004818 0.005918 0.007299 0.009195
2025-12-14 0.002483 0.003061 0.003780 0.004754 0.006060 0.007783 0.010279
2025-12-21 0.002254 0.002843 0.003598 0.004654 0.006123 0.008142 0.011212
2025-12-28 0.002086 0.002685 0.003472 0.004605 0.006237 0.008566 0.012270
2026-01-04 0.001972 0.002586 0.003413 0.004637 0.006456 0.009152 0.013634
2026-01-11 0.001844 0.002457 0.003299 0.004575 0.006527 0.009515 0.014681
2026-01-18 0.001738 0.002350 0.003207 0.004535 0.006620 0.009913 0.015829
2026-01-25 0.001640 0.002246 0.003110 0.004477 0.006677 0.010251 0.016910
2026-02-01 0.001570 0.002179 0.003062 0.004489 0.006840 0.010777 0.018395
2026-02-08 0.001490 0.002092 0.002977 0.004433 0.006886 0.011102 0.019543
2026-02-15 0.001402 0.001990 0.002869 0.004339 0.006873 0.011346 0.020619
2026-02-22 0.001353 0.001945 0.002846 0.004385 0.007105 0.012066 0.022793
2026-03-01 0.001327 0.001934 0.002873 0.004516 0.007501 0.013137 0.025910
2026-03-08 0.001263 0.001859 0.002795 0.004456 0.007542 0.013523 0.027574
2026-03-15 0.001197 0.001778 0.002701 0.004364 0.007509 0.013755 0.028923
2026-03-22 0.001146 0.001717 0.002637 0.004319 0.007563 0.014171 0.030791
2026-03-29 0.001112 0.001683 0.002615 0.004348 0.007764 0.014921 0.033657
2026-04-05 0.001065 0.001626 0.002549 0.004291 0.007787 0.015283 0.035579
2026-04-12 0.001025 0.001577 0.002496 0.004254 0.007845 0.015731 0.037833
2026-04-19 0.000985 0.001526 0.002437 0.004201 0.007865 0.016091 0.039913
2026-04-26 0.000958 0.001496 0.002412 0.004211 0.008020 0.016792 0.043176